Description

This analysis provides a forecast of LTC prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-09-07 83.259852 93.116704 103.153367 114.106777 125.693795 137.557798 150.595082
2025-09-14 68.900786 83.260443 98.486706 115.708594 134.527233 154.357687 176.727663
2025-09-21 58.684021 75.389417 93.662965 114.878359 138.592135 164.068376 193.300140
2025-09-28 49.810618 67.914627 88.311662 112.561985 140.213417 170.413719 205.559782
2025-10-05 46.299430 66.127469 88.976237 116.621482 148.596914 183.924875 225.439417
2025-10-12 42.550846 63.644750 88.492807 119.060011 154.884961 194.882838 242.295074
2025-10-19 37.771221 59.475396 85.663648 118.450682 157.406027 201.364508 253.926883
2025-10-26 33.600711 55.719610 83.047961 117.842371 159.714258 207.428187 264.932435
2025-11-02 30.508774 53.103448 81.632637 118.503999 163.372558 214.932359 277.488288
2025-11-09 27.090628 49.776110 79.109067 117.627853 165.048764 220.013347 287.154107
2025-11-16 24.457202 47.313132 77.528578 117.782736 167.853907 226.329986 298.180970
2025-11-23 21.605883 44.307451 75.064444 116.681250 169.014219 230.613937 306.762651
2025-11-30 19.885903 42.851854 74.608513 118.121193 173.313858 238.681534 319.869413
2025-12-07 18.429017 41.677613 74.458411 119.904149 178.009158 247.213090 333.531504
2025-12-14 16.243403 39.179298 72.352680 119.032723 179.311821 251.603980 342.244559
2025-12-21 13.826380 36.068133 69.220330 116.672688 178.636120 253.520205 347.947610
2025-12-28 13.490041 36.396567 70.974407 120.814659 186.190099 265.440394 365.600217
2026-01-04 12.724559 35.918191 71.519336 123.302614 191.621315 274.764664 380.147896
2026-01-11 11.210103 33.973170 69.822156 122.680985 193.018850 279.112637 388.694544
2026-01-18 9.836297 32.131435 68.180492 122.060386 194.361450 283.352377 397.080302
2026-01-25 8.879827 30.974994 67.510754 122.735380 197.350495 289.604039 407.884645
2026-02-01 7.675238 29.178916 65.765546 121.841528 198.242298 293.218394 415.464491
2026-02-08 6.791380 27.926148 64.802130 121.999545 200.479579 298.484879 425.038509